Atlanta’s growth a balancing act
Wednesday, October 18th, 2006Published on: 10/19/06
The exact numbers might be in dispute, but the trend line is undeniable: The city of Atlanta is rapidly regaining population. It’s way past time for some blunt talk about how to manage that growth.
The city’s demographic experts put Atlanta’s 2005 population at 483,108 — about 13,000 more people than the official count of the U.S. Census Bureau. The census folks think the city’s recent growth slowed down a little in 2005, but Atlanta government officials believe they have better data.
Moreover, a new study by Cousins Properties suggests the city’s population will skyrocket over the next 15 years — to as many as 800,000 people. Coming from a development firm that has decided to invest heavily in intown properties, that number could be grossly inflated. But even the Atlanta Regional Commission, the official keeper of the metro region’s population estimates, puts the city at 600,000 by 2030.
Either projection is amazing when you remember that in 1990 the city’s population had fallen to 394,000 residents. Both projections include dramatic demographic changes for the city, which has begun to attract young singles and childless married couples of all ages. One of the biggest groups of newcomers is empty nesters who raised their families in the suburbs — here and elsewhere — but now seek the amenities of big-city living.
That’s what makes a frank discussion about the kind of residential development the city will undergo so important. Atlanta simply cannot sustain such a high growth rate without affecting single-family homes in traditional neighborhoods.
City officials and neighborhood leaders will need to accept much higher density living arrangements, a concept that is often talked about but rarely embraced — especially when the higher density is close to existing neighborhoods.
Indeed, the key to mass transit as a viable option for all of metro Atlanta — for ridership, financing and growth — is higher density housing, whether that is in Midtown Atlanta or the Vinings area of Cobb County, which is undergoing a similar demographic growth pattern.
The region should take some pride in Atlanta’s resurgence, but tough decisions lie ahead.
— Mike King, for the editorial board